News Karnataka
Friday, March 29 2024
Cricket
Economy

India’s GDP growth in July-Sep seen at 7-8%

Indias GDP growth in July Sep seen at 78
Photo Credit :

Mumbai: India’s GDP growth in July-Sep is likely to remain in the range of 7-8 per cent.

In the first quarter of the financial year 2021-22, India’s GDP growth was 20.1 per cent compared to the same period of the last fiscal.

According to the EcoScope report of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited (MOFSL), there would be some moderation in Economic Activity Index-Gross Value Added (EAI-GVA) growth in July 2021, largely on account of weaker fiscal spending.

It, however, noted that private spending — consumption and investments — on the other hand, has grown decently.

“Although there is no one-to-one correlation between our EAIs and the official GDP/GVA due to the underlying differences, our composite indices move in sync with the official real GDP (ex-discrepancies) and real GVA estimates,” it said.

“Accordingly, we expect real GVA growth of 7-8 per cent YoY in 2QFY22 v/s 20.1 per cent YoY growth in 1QFY22.”

As per Motilal Oswal’s estimates, total consumption grew 5.1 per cent YoY in July 2021 against 2.7 per cent in June 2021 and ‘-12.1’ per cent in July 2020.

Within consumption, private consumption grew at a three-month high of 6.9 per cent YoY, though government consumption fell 31 per cent YoY in July 2021.

Excluding government consumption, EAI-GVA grew faster at 7.1 per cent YoY in July 2021, faster than 3.2 per cent YoY in June 2021, but slower from March-May 2021.

Further, faster growth in imports compared to exports led to a negative contribution from external trade to EAI-GDP in July 2021.

Total investments grew at five-month lows of 12.1 per cent YoY in July 2021 against 18.5 per cent in June 2021 and 21 per cent decline in July 2020.

Share this:
MANY DROPS MAKE AN OCEAN
Support NewsKarnataka's quality independent journalism with a small contribution.

How useful was this post?

Click on a star to rate it!

Average rating 0 / 5. Vote count: 0

No votes so far! Be the first to rate this post.

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

To get the latest news on WhatsApp