Los Angeles: The upcoming biopic Michael, based on the life of pop icon Michael Jackson, is expected to make a record-breaking debut at the global box office, despite mixed early reviews.

Industry trackers are predicting a worldwide opening weekend collection of $140–150 million (around Rs 1,150–1,250 crore), which would make it the biggest debut ever for a musical biopic.

Strong opening projections

According to trade analysts, Michael is expected to earn $65–70 million (approximately Rs 540–580 crore) in North America alone during its opening weekend.

If these estimates hold, the film will surpass previous records set by Bohemian Rhapsody, which opened at $51 million, and Straight Outta Compton, which debuted at $62 million.

Globally, the film is projected to outperform Bohemian Rhapsody’s $121 million worldwide opening, setting a new benchmark for the genre.

High expectations despite mixed reviews

While the film has generated strong buzz, early reviews have been mixed. However, advance bookings and audience interest suggest that critical reception may not significantly impact its opening performance.

Trade insiders believe that fan anticipation and the global appeal of Michael Jackson’s music could drive strong footfall in theatres.

Can it beat lifetime records?

Bohemian Rhapsody, starring Rami Malek, remains the highest-grossing musical biopic of all time, earning around $910 million globally.

Analysts now expect Michael to potentially surpass that figure, with some projections even hinting at a possible $1 billion (over Rs 8,000 crore) lifetime run if momentum sustains.

Other biopics like Elvis, based on Elvis Presley, did not cross the $100 million mark in their opening weekend, highlighting the scale of expectations from Michael.

About the film

Directed by Antoine Fuqua and written by John Logan, the film stars Jaafar Jackson in the lead role, portraying his uncle Michael Jackson.

The film traces Jackson’s journey from his early days with the Jackson 5 to his rise as a global superstar, covering landmark phases such as Off The Wall and Thriller.

The cast also includes Nia Long, Miles Teller and Colman Domingo in key roles.

Conclusion

With massive opening projections and global anticipation, Michael is poised to redefine box office benchmarks for musical biopics. Whether it can sustain momentum and break long-standing records will depend on audience reception in the coming weeks.