NDA makes strong gains in Muslim-dominated seats in early Bihar trends

Early trends from the Bihar assembly election results on Friday showed the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) gaining substantial ground in several Muslim-dominated constituencies, marking a notable shift in voter patterns compared to previous polls. According to initial data, the NDA is on course to secure at least 16 such seats, reflecting stronger support in regions traditionally considered challenging for the alliance.

JD(U) sees biggest jump within NDA

Chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) appears to have gained the most among NDA partners. Compared to the 2020 Bihar assembly elections, JD(U) is projected to secure around eight additional seats in Muslim-dominated segments. Party leaders believe that Nitish Kumar’s sustained focus on welfare schemes and governance stability may have contributed to the shift in support.
Political analysts noted that the early surge for JD(U) indicates a consolidation of votes in its favour, particularly in constituencies where development and law-and-order issues resonated more strongly with voters than identity-driven narratives.

LJP(RV) makes notable inroads

Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas), which contested independently of the JD(U) within the NDA framework, is showing impressive leads in six seats with significant Muslim voter bases. This marks a major breakthrough for the party, which has focused on youth outreach and constituency-level campaigning.
Analysts say LJP(RV)’s gains could signal its emergence as a serious player beyond its traditional strongholds, especially with Chirag Paswan projected to be one of the biggest winners in this election cycle.

Mahagathbandhan struggles despite heavy campaign

In contrast to the NDA’s upward trajectory, the Mahagathbandhan is struggling to convert voter turnout into tangible gains. Despite intensively campaigning on employment generation, youth issues and positioning a new chief ministerial face, the alliance appears to be losing ground in crucial constituencies.
Initial trends suggest that the Opposition bloc may not have achieved the vote consolidation it aimed for, particularly in areas where local factors and candidate-level credibility outweighed broader campaign messaging.

Early trends suggest significant electoral shift

While full results are yet to be declared, the early trends point towards a significant reconfiguration of political alignments in Bihar. Gains in Muslim-dominated seats for the NDA signal changing voter behaviour and the growing impact of governance-focused campaigning over traditional vote-bank politics.
The final results will determine whether the NDA can sustain its early lead and how decisively it can convert these trends into assembly seats.